- A statistical probability of the likelihood of a future event happening under certain conditions. E.g. Will fresh water on planet earth freeze at 32 degrees F tomorrow? True or False?
- A determination of what happened in the past. E.g. Did I drink water for lunch a year ago. I don’t know know. I can’t remember. I don’t know if it’s true or not that I drank water for lunch a year ago. Did you drink water for lunch a year ago? True or False?
- A statistical probability of the likelihood of the properties and behavior of something in it’s current state. E.g. This rock seems to be staying hard. It’s not turning to mush. It must be a rock. Are rocks hard? True or false? A property of rocks is that they are hard. They consistently stay hard. Granite will be hard in it’s current state. True or False?
There are ‘Truths` that are much harder to determine. If I stated, “Every time I flip a coin, it will turn up heads.” True or False? Well, sometimes the coin will turn up heads. So is the statement 50% true? If it’s not 100% true, then is it 100% false? Is there such a thing as 50% true and 50% false? Or 1% true and 99% false? Is the REAL TRUTH, that we can’t know for sure if the coin will turn up head or tails. If we use truth to plan our actions for the future, then I would want to know the probability of the coin turning up heads or tails.
Is a drinking glass with water up to the middle half full or half empty? The drinking glass is half full. True or False? The drinking glass is half empty. True or false. The drinking glass is both half empty and half full. True or False? Which truth do you prefer? They are all true statements. I prefer the truth that the glass is both half empty and half full. The more truths I know, the better my chances are of being able to be able to navigate through situations to create constructive and pleasant outcomes.
If constructive and pleasant results are the goal, then we need to avoid situations where the probability of success is very low. If you want to increase your odds of a pleasant result, it’s good to have a sense of the probability of success. And the probability of success is directly tied to discerning truth. It’s hard to determine the likelihood of success, if you don’t know the truth. So truth, navigating randomness, and choosing higher probability events that lead to pleasant outcomes are all connected.